Last week, the EUR/USD experienced a drop due to political news from France, causing it to open the new week with a gap down. Although the gap was eventually filled later in the week, the currency pair is currently trading just above 1.0700 in the early Asian trading session. According to UBS, the weakness in the EUR/USD is primarily driven by European politics and overall market risk sentiment. Interestingly, most of the significant movements are seen in EUR crosses such as EUR/CHF and EUR/JPY, which is typical in a risk-off environment.
Looking ahead, UBS has identified the next key technical levels to watch for potential downside breaks in the EUR/USD. These levels include 1.0670, 1.0645, and 1.0600. The low on Friday was around 1.0670, indicating a potential support level to monitor. For a more detailed analysis of these levels, traders are advised to refer to the daily chart.
As investors navigate through the current market conditions influenced by European politics and overall risk sentiment, it is essential to keep a close eye on these technical levels in the EUR/USD. The currency pair’s movement can provide valuable insights into the broader market trends and potential trading opportunities.
In addition to monitoring the EUR/USD, traders may also consider assessing other EUR crosses such as EUR/CHF and EUR/JPY for further indications of market sentiment and risk appetite. By diversifying their analysis across multiple currency pairs, traders can gain a more comprehensive understanding of the current market dynamics and make well-informed trading decisions.
Overall, while the EUR/USD remains under pressure from external factors such as political developments and risk sentiment, traders can leverage technical analysis and market insights provided by experts like UBS to navigate the currency pair’s movements effectively. By staying informed and adaptable to changing market conditions, traders can position themselves strategically to capitalize on potential trading opportunities in the forex market.
