Key quotes
“We’re more prone to observe the price action as a temporary correction reduced in contrast to the beginning of a more continuing reversal. Additionally, it matches with the typical seasonal pattern for EUR/USD functionality. The US dollar will underperform in December and rebounds in January. We expect the set to start to combine at greater degrees in the month ahead.”
“The most important trigger for its short-term correction diminished for EUR/USD is a change in US fiscal policy expectancy. The incoming Biden government is currently anticipated to provide a larger stimulus with won a narrow majority in the Senate. The Fed has transferred fast though to dampen expectations for a quicker speed of QE tapering in reaction to looser monetary policy. The Fed’s commitment to keep loose policy should avoid a more sustainable venture for the US dollar in the present juncture.”
“There’s a heightened danger that the Italian government headed by Prime Minister Conte won’t be able to endure following the Viva Italia party withdrew their service over gaps on the recovery program and ESM borrowing. The re-emergence of governmental threat in Italy has experienced limited adverse effect up to now from the Italian debt marketplace.
