For president, appearance in White House offered opportunity to make an official air of his displeasure over nuclear agreement with Iran: “rogue” regime in Tehran disobeyed “spirit” of agreement, supported terrorists and oppressed ir own people, so Donald Trump in speech to his Iran strategy. His cabinet, toger with Congress, will negotiate conditions to which whereabouts of United States will be linked in agreement.
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The rhetoric left little room for diplomacy. But for those who feared a quick end to treaty, performance was good news. Trump, as expected, renounced agreement negotiated by its predecessor, as American laws provide for all 90 days. More importantly, President did not recommend leaving. “What’s done is done,” says Trump. What has happened is just happening.
The fact that president’s pride and ego does not lead to end of deal and anor international crisis is mainly due to finesse of his experienced cabinet members. Defense Minister James Mattis, national security adviser H.R. McMaster and Foreign Minister Rex Tillerson had pleaded for a whereabouts in agreement. With compromise you have shown: In meantime you know how to tame your boss.
Furr public humiliation saves
For Donald Trump, step was primarily symbolic. The deal with Iran had become a personal nuisance to him. After all, he had described most important foreign policy success of his predecessor Barack Obama in election campaign as “embarrassment”, sometimes as “worst deal”, “which I have ever seen”. Newspapers had recently reported that president had become increasingly angry and irritated because he had to re-certify agreement every 90 days – and thus publicly admits that it fulfilled its purpose. For Trump, this is a humiliation that he wants to save a third time.
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His advisers now give him personal satisfaction of not having to stand behind an agreement that he has so vehemently rejected as a candidate. At same time, however, decision on future of Treaty is no longer in hands of fickle head of state, but also disappears in aisles of Congress. It is now up to him to discuss new sanctions within next 60 days – or not.
The proponents of agreement should be relieved. Although re are great Iranian skeptics among Republicans. But you’re unlikely to get deal toger. Experts in Washington and International Atomic Energy Agency agree that regime in Tehran abides by agreements – legitimate concerns about Iran’s violations of human rights, support for Hezbollah or missile testing do not change it .
Trump weared, his foreign Minister mediated
With North Korea – an actual nuclear power – re are also or, more urgent international crises. Even most conservative politicians on Kapitolhügel know that an end to agreement with Iran would permanently destabilise international situation and frighten important partners in Europe and Asia.
Trump’s appearance is, above all, an insight into a dynamic, which now and again always cushions president’s instinct-driven outbreaks:
While Trump is on Twitter against North Korea, his foreign minister is behind scenes seeking a diplomatic approach. While president is publicly seeking closeness to Putin, Congress is adopting new sanctions against Russia that rule out a veto by president. Treaties such as trade agreement with Mexico and Canada, which clobber candidate had predicted to be a quick end in election campaign, are still in force thanks to influence of experienced negotiators.
No question: The Iran deal is weakened without full approval of US president. New conditions for US’s whereabouts and prospect of sanctions provide uncertainty. The diplomats in Washington and Tehran are working, Foreign Ministry, which is already under-occupied, has to smooth tides with Iran. But compromise announced is best-case scenario under Trump. And a result that can be hoped for, because it shows president’s limits.
