A Reminder of What Snow Looks Like
Thanks to one of my family members, Bob Blasby, who live on Vancouver Island in British Columbia, Canada for the picture below. So THIS is what snow looks like, huh? Geez! According to Bob, this cold and snowy winter has been cutting into his somewhat regular golfing habits this winter. Come to Minnesota, Bob! We’ve got great golf weather here.
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Slightly cooler today – 60 possible by Friday?
By Todd Nelson, filling in for Douglas.
Yes, you saw that headline right. The mercury may soar into the 60s across parts of southern Minnesota by the end of the week. Just to show you how rare it is to hit 60 degrees in the Twin Cities in the month of February, we’ve only done it 4 times! The most recent was on leap day in 2000 when we topped out at 61 degrees. The all-time warmest February reading was 64 degrees on the 26th back in 1896.
A lack of snow cover is a huge part of why temperature will soar to 20 to near 30 degrees above average. Instead of melting snow, solar radiation is being pumped into warming the atmosphere.
Looking at weather maps over the next several days, it’s hard to believe that it is still February. Hints of April may have folks testing their spring legs on a jog outside or even taking to the garage to clean out the winter crud. Oh, that reminds me, I still have my holiday lights on the house. It would be a good weekend to pull those down too.
Long range weather models keep us dry until Monday. Rain and February rumbles may be possible then!
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TUESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy and cooler. Not as breezy. Winds: NNW 10-15. Low: 21
WEDNESDAY: Less wind. Passing clouds. Feels cooler. Winds: WSW 5. High: 34.
WEDNESDAY NIGHT: Partly cloudy, cool and quiet. Winds: SE 5. Low: 25.
THURSDAY: Mostly sunny and mild. Feels like March again. Winds: ESE 5. High: 46.
FRIDAY: Warm sunshine. A shot at 60F? Winds: SE 5. Wake-up: 32. High: 55.
SATURDAY: Dry. Hints of April. Winds: SE 5. Wake-up: 34. High: 53.
SUNDAY: Still very warm for February. Clouds thicken late. Winds: S 5. Wake-up: 34. High: 52.
MONDAY: February rain. PM rumble of thunder? Winds: SE 10-15. Wake-up: 42. High: 53.
TUESDAY: A little cooler. Lingering sprinkles. Winds: NW 10-15. Wake-up: 39. High: 47.
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This Day in Weather History
February 15th
1921: An early blast of spring weather invades Minnesota. Thunderstorms were reported across the southern portion of the state. Winona had a high of 67.
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Average High/Low for Minneapolis
February 15th
Average High: 29F (Record: 63F set in 1921)
Average: Low: 13F (Record: -25F set in 1875)
*Record Snowfall: 8.5″ set in 1967
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Sunrise Sunset Times For Minneapolis
February 15th
Sunrise: 7:13am
Sunset: 5:42pm
*Daylight Gained Since Yesterday: ~2 minutes & 55 seconds
*Daylight Gained Since Winter Solstice (December 21st): ~1 hour & 42 minutes
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Moon Phase for February 14th at Midnight
4.3 Days After Full Moon
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Weather Outlook For Wednesday
A fast moving clipper scooted across the Great Lakes on Tuesday. With it came gusty winds across the regions and slightly cooler temperatures. Although temperatures take a little bit of a hit on Wednesday, we’ll still be above average. Feels like temperatures across the state will range from the 30s across southwestern MN to the teens across the northern part of the state.
Weather Outlook For Wednesday
After a breezy day Tuesday, winds on Wednesday will be quite a bit calmer. Winds will also begin to switch around to the west/southwest late in the day, which is the first sign of the upcoming warmer weather later this week and weekend ahead.
Wednesday will be a dry day across the state, but lingering clouds will rotate through the northern part of the state with peeks of sun popping out at times in the Twin Cities.
Here’s the temperature outlook through February 23rd, which shows well above average temperatures continuing through the weekend and into early next week. Note that we could see our first 50F in the Twin Cities since November 28th (55F) and we may even see our first 60F in the Twin Cities since November 16th (61F). This weekend is going to feel very much like April with highs in the 50s to near 60 degrees! Unreal!
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Record Warmth Later This Week
As temperatures warm later this week, record warmth could follow. The images below show where record warmth is forecast (circles) for Thursday and Friday. Note that by Friday, record warmth could stretch as far north as Minneapolis, MN, St. Cloud, MN, Fargo, ND and Grand Forks, ND!
8 to 14 Day Temperature Outlook
According to NOAA’s CPC, the 8 to 14 day temperature outlook suggests warmer than average temperatures continuing across much of the Upper Midwest from February 23rd – 27th. There may be a slight cool down late month, but the overall trend remains warmer than average.
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Here’s the 8 to 14 day temperature outlook, which takes us into late February. Note that much warmer than average temperatures look to continue over the eastern two-thirds of the nation, while the Western U.S. looks to begin seeing cooler than average temps.
Take a look at the temperature anomaly through Saturday, February 25th. Note that the despite a quick shot of cooler than average temps by the middle and end of this week, the eastern half of the country looks to stay warmer than average through much of that time period. Colder than average temps begin moving into the western part of the country next week and perhaps into the central part of the country by the last weekend of the month.
Radar Estimated Precipitation Past 30 Days
Take a look at how impressive the 30 day precipitation tallies are across the West Coast. Note the purple colors that indicate 12″ of liquid! Some spots have quite a bit more than that and there’s more precipitation on the way!
Improving California Drought
According to the U.S. Drought Monitor, the California drought continues to improve. Note that over the last 3 months, we have seen major improvement in the Exceptional, Extreme and Severe drought. With the additional moisture expected this week, we should continue to see even more improvement!
Atmospheric Rivers Continue…
Heavy precipitation has been falling across the Western U.S. due to rivers of Pacific moisture plowing into the region. Note the deep plumes of Pacific moisture that seems to be directed right toward the West Coast, these are the Atmospheric Rivers that are responsible for the extensive precipitation. Note the next big plume setting up just west of the region, this will be responsible for another heavy surge through the week ahead.
Waves of Pacific Moisture in the Western U.S. Continue
Several rounds of heavy precipitation have blasted the West Coast and we’re not quite done yet. Another surge of heavy precipitation will push through the region this week and weekend ahead with more possible into early next week with significant rainfall and flooding along with heavy mountain snow.
According to NOAA’s WPC, the 5 day precipitation forecast suggests widespread 6″ to 9″+ precipitation amounts across the West Coast through the early weekend. This will likely help improve the drought even more as we head into the 3rd week of February.
Here’s the national weather outlook through the middle part of the week, which shows another round of snow pushing through the Great Lakes and the Northeast, while strong to severe storms continue across the southeastern. Meanwhile, another surge of Pacific moisture looks to begin moving into the West Coast. This next surge of Pacific moisture will continue sliding down the coast and will likely bring parts of southern California heavy precipitation as well.
Here’s the snowfall potential into early next week, which shows heavy mountain snow developing once again across parts of the Western U.S.. Heavy looks to develop once again across the Cascades, Sierra Nevada Range in and across the Rockies.
“Sea Ice Hits Record Lows at Both Poles”
“Arctic temperatures have finally started to cool off after yet another winter heat wave stunted sea ice growth over the weekend. The repeated bouts of warm weather this season have stunned even seasoned polar researchers, and could push the Arctic to a record low winter peak for the third year in a row. Meanwhile, Antarctic sea ice set an all-time record low on Monday in a dramatic reversal from the record highs of recent years.”
See more from Climate Central HERE:
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“Climate threat to wildlife may have been massively underreported”
“More than 700 of the world’s threatened and endangered animal species may be directly affected by climate change, according to a new study — vastly more than the number of animal species scientists initially thought would face risks from global warming. Scientists had previously determined that only 7 percent of mammals and 4 percent of birds on the International Union for Conservation of Nature (IUCN) “Red List” of threatened species are affected by climate change. However, a new study finds that the threat from climate change may have been massively underreported.”
See more from CBSNews HERE:
“Species like the mountain gorilla are especially threatened by climate change because of their very limited, specific habitat.”(LIANA JOSEPH/WILDLIFE CONSERVATION SOCIETY)
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“Humans are changing climate 170 times faster than nature, say researchers”
“Over the past 7,000 years the primary forces driving change have been astronomical – changes in solar intensity and subtle changes in orbital parameters, along with a few volcanoes,” Will Steffen, of the Fenner School of Environment and Society and the Climate Change Institute at ANU, said in a statement. “Human-caused greenhouse gas emissions over the past 45 years have increased the rate of temperature rise to 1.7 degrees Celsius per century, dwarfing the natural background rate,” Steffen added.”
See more from CNBC HERE:
(Lukas Schulze | Getty Images)
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Heavy Rains May Bring a California Poppy Spectacle This Spring
All the rainfall Southern California has seen this winter has helped to ease the state’s six-year drought and may offer a flicker of hope for fans of a certain bright orange flower. In a good year, the green fields of the California Poppy Reserve in Lancaster appear afire with the blooming of the state flower. Park officials told KPCC the reserve has already received the minimum amount of rainfall to make a bloom possible — more than 7 inches — and that the poppy stalks have sprouted.
See more from KQED.org HERE:
California poppies carpet a valley near Lancaster. (Jerry Frausto/Flickr)
Thanks for checking in and don’t forget to follow me on Twitter @TNelsonWX
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